Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaUrawa

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Cerezo Osaka (2,019) and Urawa (1,932).

Cerezo Osaka win50 %
Draw24 %
Urawa win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026FC Gifu(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)2-1J1 League
Jul 29, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 28, 2025Urawa 0-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Mar 28, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Oct 5, 2024Urawa 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Jun 15, 2024Cerezo Osaka 2-1 UrawaJ1 League
Jul 16, 2023Cerezo Osaka 2-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 4, 2023Urawa 2-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka on May 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.91.1410/159/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Cerezo Osaka3201346
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Urawa.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Urawa is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cerezo Osaka and Urawa

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