Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse played?

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Shimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,901).

Gamba Osaka win53 %

Draw25 %

Shimizu S-pulse win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Feb 28, 2026	Gamba Osaka 2-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Jun 15, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Mar 8, 2025	Gamba Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Aug 14, 2022	Gamba Osaka 0-2 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Apr 10, 2022	Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse played?: Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.