Match

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaShimizu S-pulse

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,644 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,923).

50%26%24%
Gamba Osaka winDrawShimizu S-pulse win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 13S. Abe
  3. 7T. Usami
  4. 16T. Suzuki
  5. 39K. Sumi
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 1M. Higashiguchi

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 9Oh Se-Hun
  2. 7Capixaba
  3. 8K. Inoue
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 37K. Koizumi
  3. 18T. Hirato
  1. 25Mateus Brunetti
  2. 24H. Sugai
  3. 3Y. Takahashi
  4. 4S. Hasukawa
  1. 1Y. Oki

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)2-3J1 League
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Tokyo Verdy(home)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-5J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka wins, 3 draws, 1 Shimizu S-pulse win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulse 2-2 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Feb 28, 2026Gamba Osaka 2-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Jun 15, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Mar 8, 2025Gamba Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Aug 14, 2022Gamba Osaka 0-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15
Shimizu S-pulse1.11.728/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 18th in J1 League (12 points from 14 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Shimizu S-pulse14428102314
18Gamba Osaka14266162412

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse