FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,003) and Vissel Kobe (2,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Tokyo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| May 10, 2025 | FC Tokyo 1-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-2 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Tokyo 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FC Tokyo 2-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe played?
- FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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