Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| May 11, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| May 26, 2024 | Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?
- The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 29, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsMito Hollyhock
- May 29, 2027V-varen NagasakivsMachida Zelvia
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- May 29, 2027FC TokyovsVissel Kobe
- May 29, 2027Gamba OsakavsShimizu S-pulse
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