Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto SangaNagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

Kyoto Sanga win36 %
Draw25 %
Nagoya Grampus win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kashima(away)1-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 25, 2026Consadole Sapporo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 10, 2025Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
May 11, 2025Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 7, 2024Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
May 26, 2024Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto SangaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15
Nagoya Grampus1.51.8211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nagoya Grampus3102443
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus?
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus played?
Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus

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