Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (2,156 vs 1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1- 23S. Ayukawa
- 10A. Suzuki
- 5N. Arai
- 18D. Suga
- 35Y. Nakajima
- 6H. Kawabe
- 11M. Kato
- 4H. Araki
- 15S. Nakano
- 37Kim Ju-Sung
- 1K. Osako
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2- 8C. Kato
- 30J. Okumura
- 22K. Taniguchi
- 38Leonardo Hugo
- 39H. Yamamoto
- 20Y. Funabashi
- 17K. Itakura
- 25T. Mase
- 15Y. Kimoto
- 3K. Osaki
- 27J. Słowik
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 1-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-6 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 1-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 0 draws, 0 Mito Hollyhock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2014 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock on Aug 27, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd in J1 League (26 points from 12 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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