Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock played?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,832).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win63 %

Draw22 %

Mito Hollyhock win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kyoto Sangyo University(home)	0-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 27, 2014	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Mito Hollyhock	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock on Aug 27, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.3	1.1	5	9/15	10/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock played?: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.