Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,113) and Kashima (2,187).

35%26%39%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
  1. 15S. Fujio
  1. 39N. Nakagawa
  2. 5K. Endo
  3. 8Y. Koizumi
  4. 87H. Yamauchi
  5. 28S. Toshima
  6. 44K. Yuba
  1. 26D. Sugioka
  2. 42W. Harada
  3. 4T. Koga
  1. 29K. Nagai

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 8Matheus Bueno
  3. 6K. Misao
  4. 14Y. Higuchi
  1. 23K. Tsukui
  2. 7R. Ogawa
  3. 55N. Ueda
  4. 5I. Sekigawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kashima have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Daejeon Citizen(home)2-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Urawa(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 27, 2026Ratchaburi(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kashima(away)3-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-0J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashiwa Reysol win, 1 draw, 4 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashima 2-3 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Apr 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Feb 21, 2026Kashima 2-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Jul 20, 2025Kashima 3-2 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Mar 8, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 21, 2024Kashima 0-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol2.41.558/1510/15
Kashima2.31.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 4th in J1 League (28 points from 13 matches) and Kashima sit 6th (23 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kashiwa Reysol13913291928
6Kashima13724292223

A question about Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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