Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. MarinosJEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Chiba?

Yokohama F. Marinos starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,815).

Yokohama F. Marinos win56 %
Draw25 %
JEF United Chiba win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Fukushima United(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Kashima(home)3-4J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Azul Claro Numazu(home)1-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-4J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 JEF United Chiba win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026JEF United Chiba 2-3 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 JEF United ChibaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos1.91.158/156/15
JEF United Chiba0.82.026/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Yokohama F. Marinos3201546
20JEF United Chiba3003090

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Chiba?
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Chiba played?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs JEF United Chiba is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yokohama F. Marinos and JEF United Chiba

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