Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Folkestone Invicta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Folkestone Invicta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Folkestone Invicta 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Folkestone Invicta 0-3 Tonbridge Angels | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Folkestone Invicta 1-2 Tonbridge Angels | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Folkestone Invicta | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Folkestone Invicta | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta?
- The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 27, 2026BraintreevsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 27, 2026MaidenheadvsHorsham
- Oct 27, 2026Billericay TownvsHampton & Richmond
- Oct 27, 2026Truro CityvsSlough Town
- Oct 27, 2026Chesham UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Oct 27, 2026AFC TottonvsTorquay