Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and Salisbury (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Salisbury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Salisbury 1-3 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Salisbury 2-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Salisbury | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury?
- The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Salisbury.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 31, 2026Billericay TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Oct 31, 2026Truro CityvsEbbsfleet United
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