Torreense vs Benfica: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Torreense. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Benfica?
Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,473 Elo points against 2,026, a 447-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torreense vs Benfica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Pozo
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 7D. Jean
- 5M. Diadie
- 19K. Zoabi
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 22David Bruno
- 45J. Mutombo
- 1Lucas Paes
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 27Rafa
- 10H. Sudakov
- 36João Palhinha
- 25G. Prestianni
- 30C. Echeverri
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 6A. Bah
- 26S. Dahl
- 2C. Lenglet
- 24Samuel Soares
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Benfica have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 4-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Benfica | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Torreense vs Benfica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Benfica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Torreense.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Benfica played?
- Torreense vs Benfica is played on November 22, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.