Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ukraine U17 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Poland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Ukraine U17 (1,492) and Poland U17 (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ukraine U17 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Poland U17 have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Latvia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Croatia U17(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Slovakia U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U17(away) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Sweden U17(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Scotland U17(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ukraine U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Poland U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | Ukraine U17 2-3 Poland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17 on Apr 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ukraine U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poland U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine U17 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Poland U17 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ukraine U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Poland U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poland U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17?
- The Footlab model makes Ukraine U17 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Poland U17.
- Where and when is Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17 played?
- Ukraine U17 vs Poland U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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