Where and when is Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21 played?

Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 19Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv

Ukraine U21

Turkey U21

The Footlab model makes Ukraine U21 the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Turkey U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Ukraine U21 (1,603) and Turkey U21 (1,522).

Ukraine U21 win47 %

Draw25 %

Turkey U21 win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ukraine U21 have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Turkey U21 have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ukraine U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 8, 2026	Japan U21(away)	0-3	Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026	USA U21(away)	1-3	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Hungary U21(away)	2-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Lithuania U21(home)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025	Albania U21(away)	0-2	Friendlies

Turkey U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 3, 2026	Kosovo U21(home)	1-0	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Croatia U21(away)	0-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Lithuania U21(away)	2-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Ukraine U21(home)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Hungary U21(away)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ukraine U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Turkey U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 14, 2025	Turkey U21 1-0 Ukraine U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Turkey U21 vs Ukraine U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ukraine U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Turkey U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ukraine U21	1.2	1.6	2	7/15	8/15
Turkey U21	1.6	1.0	6	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ukraine U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (8 points from 6 matches) and Turkey U21 sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Turkey U21	6	3	2	1	7	6	11
3	Ukraine U21	6	2	2	2	10	7	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21?: The Footlab model makes Ukraine U21 the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Turkey U21.
Where and when is Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21 played?: Ukraine U21 vs Turkey U21 is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.