Match

Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano OkayamaUrawa

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Fagiano Okayama (1,938) and Urawa (1,932).

Fagiano Okayama win47 %
Draw26 %
Urawa win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fagiano Okayama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Tokyo Verdy(home)0-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 25, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Urawa 0-2 Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
May 31, 2026Fagiano Okayama 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2025Fagiano Okayama 0-1 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 8, 2025Urawa 1-0 Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fagiano Okayama1.41.077/157/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Fagiano Okayama3111224
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Urawa.
Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa played?
Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fagiano Okayama and Urawa

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