Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Kashiwa Reysol (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J-League Cup |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol | J-League Cup |
| May 14, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kashiwa Reysol.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsFC Tokyo
- Apr 17, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsNagoya Grampus
- Apr 17, 2027V-varen NagasakivsVissel Kobe
- Apr 17, 2027Cerezo OsakavsKashima
- Apr 17, 2027Gamba OsakavsJEF United Chiba
- Apr 17, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsTokyo Verdy
- Apr 17, 2027Mito HollyhockvsKyoto Sanga
- Apr 17, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsUrawa