Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Los Angeles Galaxy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Los Angeles Galaxy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps | Leagues Cup |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in Major League Soccer (40 points from 20 matches) and Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy is played on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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