Fiorentina vs Como: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Fiorentina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Como wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
Como starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,198 vs 2,043).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fiorentina vs Como
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fiorentina
4-3-3- 30Franco Mastantuono
- 32Mateo Pellegrino
- 25A. Njie
- 27C. Ndour
- 44N. Fagioli
- 14A. Atta
- 3R. Drăgușin
- 33Viery
- 20Álex Jiménez
- 6L. Ranieri
- 43David de Gea
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 20M. Baturina
- 10N. Paz
- 11Assane Diao
- 7L. da Cunha
- 6Luis Milla
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 27Yan Couto
- 3Álex Valle
- 99T. Chalobah
- 1J. Butez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Como have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Fiorentina wins, 0 draws, 3 Como wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Como 1-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fiorentina 1-3 Como | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Fiorentina 1-2 Como | Serie A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Fiorentina 0-2 Como | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Como 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentina sit 17th in Serie A (4 points from 5 matches) and Como sit 8th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Fiorentina vs Como?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Como?
- The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Fiorentina.
- Where and when is Fiorentina vs Como played?
- Fiorentina vs Como is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.