Bologna vs Inter: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Bologna. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs Inter?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (2,301 vs 2,026).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bologna vs Inter
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bologna
3-4-2-1- 91R. Piccoli
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 19L. Ferguson
- 4T. Pobega
- 33Juan Miranda
- 20N. Zortea
- 7R. Orsolini
- 14T. Heggem
- 16N. Casale
- 3A. Theate
- 25M. Pessina
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 23N. Barella
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 95A. Bastoni
- 1Josep Martínez
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Inter have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bologna win, 3 draws, 2 Inter wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bologna 3-3 Inter | Serie A |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Inter 3-1 Bologna | Serie A |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Bologna 1-1 Inter | Super Cup |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Bologna 1-0 Inter | Serie A |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Inter 2-2 Bologna | Serie A |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Bologna 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 14th in Serie A (5 points from 6 matches) and Inter sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Bologna vs Inter?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Inter?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Bologna.
- Where and when is Bologna vs Inter played?
- Bologna vs Inter is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.