Udinese vs Lecce: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
The Footlab AI model makes Udinese the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Udinese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
On Elo ratings, Udinese has 2,004 points and Lecce 1,910.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Udinese vs Lecce
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Udinese
3-4-2-1- 32J. Ekkelenkamp
- 23M. Vojvoda
- 8J. Karlström
- 11H. Kamara
- 38L. Miller
- 24J. Piotrowski
- 6Oier Zarraga
- 77E. Ebosse
- 14J. Abankwah
- 27C. Kabasele
- 40M. Okoye
Lecce
4-3-3- 29L. Coulibaly
- 9N. Štulić
- 99Joël Monteiro
- 20I. Ilić
- 50S. Pierotti
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 30W. Falcone
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Udinese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lecce have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter(away) | 3-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Udinese wins, 1 draw, 1 Lecce win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Lecce 2-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Udinese 3-2 Lecce | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Lecce 0-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Udinese 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| May 13, 2024 | Lecce 0-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Udinese 1-1 Lecce | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Udinese sit 13th in Serie A (4 points from 5 matches) and Lecce sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Udinese vs Lecce?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Lecce?
- The Footlab AI model makes Udinese the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Udinese vs Lecce played?
- Udinese vs Lecce is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Bluenergy Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.