Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo: prediction and stats
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab model makes Vianense the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Minas de Argozelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo?
Vianense starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Minas de Argozelo have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2017 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Atlético Arcos(away) | 5-3 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Minas de Argozelo score 2.5 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Minas de Argozelo | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo?
- The Footlab model makes Vianense the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Minas de Argozelo.
- Where and when is Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo played?
- Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.