Match

Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Capershotts, Waltham Abbey, Essex

Waltham AbbeyBowers & Pitsea

The Footlab model makes Waltham Abbey the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bowers & Pitsea. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Waltham Abbey (1,813) and Bowers & Pitsea (1,716).

Waltham Abbey win55 %
Draw21 %
Bowers & Pitsea win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waltham Abbey have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bowers & Pitsea have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Waltham Abbey
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Leyton Orient(home)1-7Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Downham Town(away)2-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026Newmarket Town(home)3-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026Wroxham(home)3-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026Walthamstow(away)0-1Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Bowers & Pitsea
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Newmarket Town(away)1-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026Redbridge(home)0-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026Witham Town(home)1-1Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026Concord Rangers(away)1-1Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 4, 2026Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home)2-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Waltham Abbey win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bowers & Pitsea win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Bowers & Pitsea 3-1 Waltham AbbeyNon League Div One - Isthmian North
Dec 13, 2025Waltham Abbey 3-2 Bowers & PitseaNon League Div One - Isthmian North

Last archived meeting: Bowers & Pitsea vs Waltham Abbey on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Waltham Abbey score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bowers & Pitsea score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Waltham Abbey2.21.458/1511/15
Bowers & Pitsea1.71.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea?
The Footlab model makes Waltham Abbey the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bowers & Pitsea.
Where and when is Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea played?
Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Capershotts, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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