Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Capershotts, Waltham Abbey, Essex
The Footlab model makes Waltham Abbey the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bowers & Pitsea. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Waltham Abbey (1,813) and Bowers & Pitsea (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waltham Abbey have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bowers & Pitsea have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Downham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newmarket Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Wroxham(home) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newmarket Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Witham Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Concord Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Waltham Abbey win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bowers & Pitsea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bowers & Pitsea 3-1 Waltham Abbey | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Waltham Abbey 3-2 Bowers & Pitsea | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
Last archived meeting: Bowers & Pitsea vs Waltham Abbey on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waltham Abbey score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bowers & Pitsea score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waltham Abbey | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Bowers & Pitsea | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea?
- The Footlab model makes Waltham Abbey the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Bowers & Pitsea.
- Where and when is Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea played?
- Waltham Abbey vs Bowers & Pitsea is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Capershotts, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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