Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wadham Lodge Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Walthamstow the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leverstock Green. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Walthamstow (1,729) and Leverstock Green (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walthamstow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leverstock Green have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 3-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mildenhall Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Brantham Athletic(away) | 3-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Newmarket Town(away) | 4-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Northwood(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ware(away) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | AFC Dunstable(away) | 9-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Milton Keynes Irish(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Walthamstow win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leverstock Green win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Walthamstow 3-1 Leverstock Green | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green on Aug 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Walthamstow score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leverstock Green score 2.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walthamstow | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Leverstock Green | 2.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green?
- The Footlab model makes Walthamstow the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leverstock Green.
- Where and when is Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green played?
- Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wadham Lodge Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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