Match

Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wadham Lodge Stadium, London

WalthamstowLeverstock Green

The Footlab model makes Walthamstow the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leverstock Green. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Walthamstow (1,729) and Leverstock Green (1,676).

Walthamstow win49 %
Draw24 %
Leverstock Green win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walthamstow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leverstock Green have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Walthamstow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)3-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026Mildenhall Town(away)3-1Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026Brantham Athletic(away)3-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026Waltham Abbey(home)1-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 4, 2026Newmarket Town(away)4-4Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Leverstock Green
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Northwood(home)2-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026Ware(away)2-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026London Lions(home)3-1Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026AFC Dunstable(away)9-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 3, 2026Milton Keynes Irish(home)2-0Non League Div One - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Walthamstow win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leverstock Green win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2023Walthamstow 3-1 Leverstock GreenFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green on Aug 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Walthamstow score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leverstock Green score 2.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Walthamstow2.11.4311/1511/15
Leverstock Green2.40.875/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green?
The Footlab model makes Walthamstow the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leverstock Green.
Where and when is Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green played?
Walthamstow vs Leverstock Green is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wadham Lodge Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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