Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wodson Park, Ware, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Ware the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Brightlingsea Regent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Ware (1,684) and Brightlingsea Regent (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ware have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brightlingsea Regent have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beaconsfield Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Leverstock Green(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | AFC Dunstable(home) | 8-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Biggleswade(away) | 1-5 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Flackwell Heath(home) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lowestoft Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Takeley(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Downham Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
How many goals should we expect?
Ware score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brightlingsea Regent score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ware | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Brightlingsea Regent | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent?
- The Footlab model makes Ware the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Brightlingsea Regent.
- Where and when is Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent played?
- Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wodson Park, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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