Match

Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wodson Park, Ware, Hertfordshire

WareBrightlingsea Regent

The Footlab model makes Ware the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Brightlingsea Regent. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Ware (1,684) and Brightlingsea Regent (1,670).

Ware win47 %
Draw25 %
Brightlingsea Regent win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ware have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brightlingsea Regent have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ware
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beaconsfield Town(away)0-2Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026Leverstock Green(home)0-2Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026AFC Dunstable(home)8-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026Biggleswade(away)1-5Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 3, 2026Flackwell Heath(home)3-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Brightlingsea Regent
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Aveley(home)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Braintree(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lowestoft Town(away)1-4Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026Takeley(home)4-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026Downham Town(away)3-1Non League Div One - Isthmian North

How many goals should we expect?

Ware score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brightlingsea Regent score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ware2.11.175/158/15
Brightlingsea Regent1.11.647/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent?
The Footlab model makes Ware the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Brightlingsea Regent.
Where and when is Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent played?
Ware vs Brightlingsea Regent is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wodson Park, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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