Match

Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Dog & Duck Ground, Wellingborough, Northamptonshire

Wellingborough TownBelper Town

The Footlab model makes Wellingborough Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Belper Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Wellingborough Town (1,691) and Belper Town (1,704).

Wellingborough Town win46 %
Draw25 %
Belper Town win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellingborough Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Belper Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wellingborough Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Shepshed Dynamo(home)2-3Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026Rugby Town(away)2-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026Basford United(away)1-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Mar 28, 2026Bourne Town(home)5-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Belper Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bourne Town(home)4-3Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Mickleover Sports(away)2-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026Loughborough University(away)1-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026Long Eaton United(home)2-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026Boldmere St. Michaels(away)0-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Wellingborough Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Belper Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Wellingborough Town 1-3 Belper TownNon League Div One - Northern Midlands
Sep 27, 2025Belper Town 1-0 Wellingborough TownNon League Div One - Northern Midlands

Last archived meeting: Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wellingborough Town score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Belper Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wellingborough Town1.71.2410/159/15
Belper Town1.51.6211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town?
The Footlab model makes Wellingborough Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Belper Town.
Where and when is Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town played?
Wellingborough Town vs Belper Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Dog & Duck Ground, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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