Match

Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Herns Way, Welwyn Garden City, Hertfordshire

Welwyn Garden CityMulbarton Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Welwyn Garden City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Mulbarton Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Welwyn Garden City (1,771) and Mulbarton Wanderers (1,710).

Welwyn Garden City win51 %
Draw24 %
Mulbarton Wanderers win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welwyn Garden City have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Mulbarton Wanderers have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Welwyn Garden City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 20, 2026Redbridge(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Enfield 1893(away)4-2Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026Leighton Town(home)2-0Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026Thame United(home)4-3Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026Hertford Town(away)0-3Non League Div One - Southern Central
Mulbarton Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Witham Town(away)0-2FA Cup
Sep 13, 2025Witham Town(home)0-0FA Cup
Aug 30, 2025Histon(away)3-2FA Cup
Aug 16, 2025Cambridge City(home)2-0FA Cup
Aug 2, 2025Dereham Town(home)3-1FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Welwyn Garden City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mulbarton Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 7, 2021Welwyn Garden City 2-1 Mulbarton WanderersFA Cup
Sep 4, 2021Mulbarton Wanderers 2-2 Welwyn Garden CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers on Sep 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Welwyn Garden City score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mulbarton Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Welwyn Garden City2.01.359/1510/15
Mulbarton Wanderers1.51.5410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Welwyn Garden City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Mulbarton Wanderers.
Where and when is Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers played?
Welwyn Garden City vs Mulbarton Wanderers is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Herns Way, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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