Match

Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

WeszloOlimpia Zambrów

The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrów?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Weszlo (1,796) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,702).

Weszlo win75 %
Draw14 %
Olimpia Zambrów win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weszlo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Łomża(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weszlo2.80.432/53/5
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Weszlo550014215
7Olimpia Zambrów530213119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrów?
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Olimpia Zambrów.
Where and when is Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Weszlo and Olimpia Zambrów

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