Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,834) and Wisła Płock II (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 2-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 3-2 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 2-0 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Wigry Suwałki on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWidzew II
- Oct 3, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsTroszyn
- Oct 3, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 3, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 3, 2026Mławianka MławavsSwit
- Oct 3, 2026Warta SieradzvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Oct 3, 2026ŁomżavsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 3, 2026WeszlovsOlimpia Zambrów