Where and when is Weymouth vs Melksham Town played?

Weymouth vs Melksham Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bob Lucas Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Weymouth vs Melksham Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bob Lucas Stadium, Weymouth, Dorset

Weymouth

Melksham Town

The Footlab model makes Weymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Melksham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weymouth vs Melksham Town?

Weymouth starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,600).

Weymouth win54 %

Draw24 %

Melksham Town win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weymouth have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Melksham Town have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weymouth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Frome Town(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Barry Town(home)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Berkhamsted(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Chertsey Town(home)	5-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Hanwell Town(away)	0-4	Non League Premier - Southern South

Melksham Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 11, 2026	Yeovil Town(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Falmouth Town(away)	2-0	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Frome Town(home)	2-0	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Hartpury University(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026	Westbury United(home)	0-2	Non League Div One - Southern South

How many goals should we expect?

Weymouth score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Melksham Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Weymouth	1.5	1.5	5	6/15	9/15
Melksham Town	0.9	1.1	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weymouth vs Melksham Town?: The Footlab model makes Weymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Melksham Town.
Where and when is Weymouth vs Melksham Town played?: Weymouth vs Melksham Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bob Lucas Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.