Match

Willand Rovers vs Falmouth Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Stan Robinson Stadium, Willand, Devon

Willand RoversFalmouth Town

The Footlab model makes Willand Rovers the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Falmouth Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Willand Rovers vs Falmouth Town?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Willand Rovers (1,592) and Falmouth Town (1,621).

Willand Rovers win44 %
Draw24 %
Falmouth Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willand Rovers have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Falmouth Town have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Willand Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Tavistock(home)3-0Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Sporting Club Inkberrow(away)4-6Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026Brixham(away)1-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026Winchester City(home)0-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Falmouth Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Melksham Town(home)0-2Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)3-0Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Club Inkberrow(away)3-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026Mousehole(home)1-2Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026Shaftesbury Town(away)0-4Non League Div One - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Willand Rovers win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Falmouth Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Falmouth Town 3-0 Willand RoversNon League Div One - Southern South
Aug 25, 2025Willand Rovers 2-2 Falmouth TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Jan 1, 2025Willand Rovers 0-1 Falmouth TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Aug 24, 2024Falmouth Town 3-3 Willand RoversNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Falmouth Town vs Willand Rovers on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Willand Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Falmouth Town score 1.8 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Willand Rovers1.71.739/158/15
Falmouth Town1.82.738/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Willand Rovers vs Falmouth Town?
The Footlab model makes Willand Rovers the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Falmouth Town.
Where and when is Willand Rovers vs Falmouth Town played?
Willand Rovers vs Falmouth Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Stan Robinson Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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