Match

Windsor vs Southall: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stag Meadow, Windsor, Berkshire

WindsorSouthall

The Footlab model makes Windsor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Southall. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Windsor vs Southall?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Windsor (1,638) and Southall (1,704).

Windsor win38 %
Draw26 %
Southall win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Windsor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Southall have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Windsor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2022Royal Wootton(home)0-2FA Cup
Aug 6, 2022Royal Wootton(away)1-1FA Cup
Aug 8, 2021Tuffley Rovers(away)2-3FA Cup
Sep 12, 2020Wantage Town(away)2-3FA Cup
Sep 1, 2020Aylesbury Vale Dynamos(away)2-1FA Cup
Southall
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Harrow Borough(away)1-1Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-4Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 11, 2026AFC Portchester(away)2-1Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 6, 2026Hayes & Yeading United(home)2-1Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 4, 2026Binfield(away)2-1Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

How many goals should we expect?

Windsor score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Southall score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Windsor1.21.627/147/14
Southall2.11.3212/1510/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Windsor vs Southall?
The Footlab model makes Windsor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Southall.
Where and when is Windsor vs Southall played?
Windsor vs Southall is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stag Meadow, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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