Windsor vs Southall: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stag Meadow, Windsor, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Windsor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Southall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Windsor vs Southall?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Windsor (1,638) and Southall (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Windsor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Southall have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2022 | Royal Wootton(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Royal Wootton(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Tuffley Rovers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Wantage Town(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Aylesbury Vale Dynamos(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harrow Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | AFC Portchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hayes & Yeading United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Binfield(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Windsor score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Southall score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/14 | 7/14 |
| Southall | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Windsor vs Southall?
- The Footlab model makes Windsor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Southall.
- Where and when is Windsor vs Southall played?
- Windsor vs Southall is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stag Meadow, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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