Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elmfields Gate, Winslow, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Winslow United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Milton Keynes Irish. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Winslow United (1,669) and Milton Keynes Irish (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Winslow United have 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Milton Keynes Irish have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Binfield(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Longlevens(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Longlevens(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Risborough Rangers(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Newport Pagnell Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hadley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | London Lions(away) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Biggleswade Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Leverstock Green(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Winslow United score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 6; Milton Keynes Irish score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winslow United | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 6/6 | 5/6 |
| Milton Keynes Irish | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish?
- The Footlab model makes Winslow United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Milton Keynes Irish.
- Where and when is Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish played?
- Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elmfields Gate, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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