Match

Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elmfields Gate, Winslow, Buckinghamshire

Winslow UnitedMilton Keynes Irish

The Footlab model makes Winslow United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Milton Keynes Irish. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Winslow United (1,669) and Milton Keynes Irish (1,677).

Winslow United win44 %
Draw25 %
Milton Keynes Irish win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Winslow United have 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Milton Keynes Irish have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Winslow United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2025Binfield(away)1-4FA Cup
Aug 6, 2024Longlevens(home)1-3FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024Longlevens(away)1-1FA Cup
Sep 12, 2020Risborough Rangers(away)1-2FA Cup
Sep 1, 2020Newport Pagnell Town(home)2-1FA Cup
Milton Keynes Irish
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Hadley(home)1-2Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026London Lions(away)4-1Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)0-3Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026Biggleswade Town(home)3-1Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 3, 2026Leverstock Green(away)0-2Non League Div One - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Winslow United score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 6; Milton Keynes Irish score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Winslow United1.32.306/65/6
Milton Keynes Irish1.91.737/1512/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish?
The Footlab model makes Winslow United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Milton Keynes Irish.
Where and when is Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish played?
Winslow United vs Milton Keynes Irish is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elmfields Gate, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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