Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow played?

Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

Wisla Krakow

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Legia Warszawa (2,056) and Wisla Krakow (1,978).

Legia Warszawa win54 %

Draw25 %

Wisla Krakow win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Legia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026	Radomiak Radom(home)	5-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-0	Ekstraklasa

Wisla Krakow
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Plock(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Legia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wisla Krakow win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 25, 2022	Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Aug 29, 2021	Wisla Krakow 1-0 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
May 1, 2021	Legia Warszawa 0-0 Wisla Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Dec 12, 2020	Wisla Krakow 1-2 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Jun 7, 2020	Wisla Krakow 1-3 Legia Warszawa	Ekstraklasa
Oct 27, 2019	Legia Warszawa 7-0 Wisla Krakow	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 25, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa	1.9	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Wisla Krakow	1.9	1.2	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
9	Wisla Krakow	4	2	0	2	8	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow?: The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow.
Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow played?: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.