Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab AI model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1. If Legia Warszawa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow?
On Elo ratings, Legia Warszawa has 2,024 points and Wisla Krakow 1,974.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Legia Warszawa
3-4-2-1- 7J. Kuchta
- 19Rúben Vinagre
- 67B. Kapustka
- 23M. Ševčík
- 53W. Urbański
- 22P. Wszołek
- 17M. Szczepaniak
- 8R. Augustyniak
- 5Robert Deziel
- 91K. Piątkowski
- 89O. Hindrich
Wisla Krakow
4-5-1- 9Ángel Rodado
- 17M. Božić
- 12J. Igbekeme
- 27É. Youan
- 41K. Duda
- 7J. Ertlthaler
- 34R. Giger
- 29D. Grujčić
- 6A. Uryga
- 52J. Krzyżanowski
- 1M. Łubik
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Legia Warszawa wins, 1 draw, 1 Wisla Krakow win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 1, 2021 | Legia Warszawa 0-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 7, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Legia Warszawa 7-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (19 points from 9 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow is played on October 11, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsWisla Plock
- Oct 9, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsGKS Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- Oct 10, 2026Slask WroclawvsLech Poznan
- Oct 10, 2026JagielloniavsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 11, 2026Piast GliwicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 11, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 12, 2026Radomiak RadomvsMotor Lublin