Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,034) and Wisla Krakow (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wisla Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 9, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 10, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 3-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Wisla PlockvsJagiellonia
- Apr 17, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsMotor Lublin
- Apr 17, 2027Lech PoznanvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 17, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 17, 2027GKS KatowicevsKorona Kielce
- Apr 17, 2027Radomiak RadomvsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 17, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsSlask Wroclaw