Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków CzęstochowaWisla Krakow

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,034) and Wisla Krakow (1,984).

Raków Częstochowa win51 %
Draw25 %
Wisla Krakow win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wisla Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2022Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Aug 8, 2021Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Apr 9, 2021Wisla Krakow 1-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Nov 8, 2020Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Jun 20, 2020Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Jun 10, 2020Wisla Krakow 3-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Wisla Krakow521210107
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Wisla Krakow.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow played?
Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Krakow is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Raków Częstochowa and Wisla Krakow

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