Match

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

JagielloniaWisla Plock

The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jagiellonia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

On Elo ratings, Jagiellonia has 1,957 points and Wisla Plock 1,898.

53%24%23%
Jagiellonia winDrawWisla Plock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
  1. 7K. Szmyt
  2. 11Jesús Imaz
  3. 72K. Jóźwiak
  1. 19A. Klynge
  2. 30O. Sow
  3. 6T. Romanczuk
  1. 5Bernardo Vital
  2. 4Y. Kobayashi
  3. 27Rodrigo Conceição
  4. 20B. Wdowik
  1. 50S. Abramowicz

Wisla Plock

3-4-3
  1. 23P. Kun
  2. 20Ł. Sekulski
  3. 57S. Akere
  1. 21Ž. Rogelj
  2. 5Sidnei Tavares
  3. 18J. Pršir
  4. 19D. Gallapeni
  1. 4M. Haglind-Sangré
  2. 34Afonso Silva
  3. 35M. Kamiński
  1. 12R. Leszczyński

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Wisla Plock have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Anderlecht(home)0-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Oct 15, 2026Ararat-Armenia(home)3-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Oct 3, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Oct 9, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(away)0-3Ekstraklasa
Oct 2, 2026Unia Skierniewice(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Sep 13, 2026Cracovia Krakow(home)3-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia wins, 1 draw, 3 Wisla Plock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Jagiellonia 1-2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Sep 19, 2025Wisla Plock 0-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Apr 21, 2023Wisla Plock 2-4 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Jan 14, 2023Wisla Plock 3-1 JagielloniaFriendlies Clubs
Oct 7, 2022Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Mar 13, 2022Jagiellonia 0-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia1.81.6210/1512/15
Wisla Plock1.61.357/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (12 points from 10 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Wisla Plock10424101514
13Jagiellonia10406131712

A question about Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock played?
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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