Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock played?

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Jagiellonia

Wisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,916).

Jagiellonia win52 %

Draw24 %

Wisla Plock win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Wisla Plock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Sep 19, 2025	Wisla Plock 0-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 21, 2023	Wisla Plock 2-4 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Jan 14, 2023	Wisla Plock 3-1 Jagiellonia	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 7, 2022	Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Mar 13, 2022	Jagiellonia 0-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock played?: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.