Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DOADC Stadium, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Worcester Raiders the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Coldfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Worcester Raiders (1,707) and Sutton Coldfield Town (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Worcester Raiders have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sutton Coldfield Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Coleshill Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Malvern Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Ashby Ivanhoe(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Stourport Swifts(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Corby Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Carlton Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Coventry Sphinx(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Boldmere St. Michaels(home) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Long Eaton United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester Raiders score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 14; Sutton Coldfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester Raiders | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/14 | 10/14 |
| Sutton Coldfield Town | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester Raiders the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Coldfield Town.
- Where and when is Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town played?
- Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DOADC Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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