Match

Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DOADC Stadium, Worcester, Worcestershire

Worcester RaidersSutton Coldfield Town

The Footlab model makes Worcester Raiders the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Coldfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Worcester Raiders (1,707) and Sutton Coldfield Town (1,689).

Worcester Raiders win46 %
Draw25 %
Sutton Coldfield Town win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Worcester Raiders have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sutton Coldfield Town have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worcester Raiders
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2025Coleshill Town(away)1-2FA Cup
Aug 16, 2025Malvern Town(away)4-2FA Cup
Aug 2, 2025Ashby Ivanhoe(home)1-0FA Cup
Aug 17, 2024Hednesford Town(away)0-1FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024Stourport Swifts(home)2-0FA Cup
Sutton Coldfield Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Corby Town(away)2-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Carlton Town(home)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026Coventry Sphinx(away)3-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026Boldmere St. Michaels(home)3-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026Long Eaton United(away)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

How many goals should we expect?

Worcester Raiders score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 14; Sutton Coldfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worcester Raiders2.01.938/1410/14
Sutton Coldfield Town1.71.2410/159/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town?
The Footlab model makes Worcester Raiders the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Sutton Coldfield Town.
Where and when is Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town played?
Worcester Raiders vs Sutton Coldfield Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DOADC Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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