Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa ReysolMachida Zelvia

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,188) and Machida Zelvia (2,244).

31%27%42%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
  1. 18Y. Kakita
  1. 5K. Endo
  2. 87H. Yamauchi
  3. 28S. Toshima
  4. 39N. Nakagawa
  5. 8Y. Koizumi
  6. 44K. Yuba
  1. 4T. Koga
  2. 26D. Sugioka
  3. 42W. Harada
  1. 29K. Nagai

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 16H. Mae
  2. 33T. Akimoto
  3. 20T. Nishimura
  4. 88H. Nakamura
  5. 7Y. Soma
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 24Kim Min-Tae
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-1J-League Cup
Nov 7, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-1J1 League
Nov 3, 2026Daejeon Citizen(home)2-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Urawa(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 27, 2026Ratchaburi(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)1-0J-League Cup
Nov 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-0J1 League
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kashiwa Reysol wins, 1 draw, 3 Machida Zelvia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Machida Zelvia 2-4 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Apr 11, 2026Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Dec 6, 2025Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
May 17, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-0 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League
Oct 19, 2024Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol2.71.3510/1512/15
Machida Zelvia1.40.5114/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (31 points from 14 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 4th (29 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kashiwa Reysol141013312031
4Machida Zelvia14851301029

A question about Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia played?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia