Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia played?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

Machida Zelvia

The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Machida Zelvia (2,116).

Kashiwa Reysol win34 %

Draw27 %

Machida Zelvia win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Machida Zelvia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Grulla Morioka(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026	Urawa(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	4-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	5-1	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Machida Zelvia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Dec 6, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
May 17, 2025	Machida Zelvia 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Oct 19, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
May 3, 2024	Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15
Machida Zelvia	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?: The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia played?: Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.