Match

Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,862).

66%20%14%
Gamba Osaka winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 13S. Abe
  4. 97Welton Felipe
  5. 7T. Usami
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 44M. Nishihara
  2. 33Patryck Ferreira
  1. 22K. Taniguchi
  2. 19T. Semba
  3. 38Leonardo Hugo
  4. 30J. Okumura
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 25T. Mase
  3. 15Y. Kimoto
  4. 3K. Osaki
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Urawa(home)0-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gamba Osaka wins, 1 draw, 0 Mito Hollyhock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Apr 16, 2025Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ-League Cup
Jan 21, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-0 Mito HollyhockFriendlies Clubs
Sep 15, 2013Gamba Osaka 5-0 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Jun 15, 2013Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Gamba OsakaJ2 League
Oct 10, 2012Gamba Osaka 1-0 Mito HollyhockEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 16th in J1 League (12 points from 13 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 19th (9 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Gamba Osaka13265142112
19Mito Hollyhock1323812259

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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