Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock played?

Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,832).

Gamba Osaka win57 %

Draw23 %

Mito Hollyhock win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kyoto Sangyo University(home)	0-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gamba Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Apr 16, 2025	Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Gamba Osaka	J-League Cup
Jan 21, 2025	Gamba Osaka 2-0 Mito Hollyhock	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 15, 2013	Gamba Osaka 5-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Jun 15, 2013	Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Gamba Osaka	J2 League
Oct 10, 2012	Gamba Osaka 1-0 Mito Hollyhock	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock played?: Gamba Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.