Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,961) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-5 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on May 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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