Where and when is Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg played?

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,057) and FC Augsburg (2,073).

Hamburger SV win40 %

Draw23 %

FC Augsburg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Augsburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025	FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Jul 7, 2021	FC Augsburg 2-2 Hamburger SV	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 13, 2018	FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2017	Hamburger SV 1-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Apr 30, 2017	FC Augsburg 4-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg played?: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.