Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München?
Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,525 Elo points against 2,119, a 406-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-1 | Super Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bayern München win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bayern München 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Bayern München 4-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayern München 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bayern München | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 89 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München?
- The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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