Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and Union Berlin (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aris(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Union Berlin | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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