Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia MönchengladbachUnion Berlin

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and Union Berlin (2,031).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win52 %
Draw22 %
Union Berlin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Ipswich(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Aris(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Cagliari(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union Berlin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Oct 17, 2025Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Feb 15, 2025Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Sep 28, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Apr 28, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Dec 9, 2023Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
Union Berlin2.51.9113/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Union Berlin3410915445839
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and Union Berlin

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