AD Marco 09 vs Trofense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses
The Footlab AI model makes AD Marco 09 the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Trofense?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate AD Marco 09 (1,981) and Trofense (1,915).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AD Marco 09 vs Trofense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AD Marco 09
4-3-3- 8Erivaldo
- 9Ka
- 10L. Garro
- 23João Guilherme
- 20B. Traoré
- 18F. Fernandes
- 4Chicão
- 77R. Barrett
- 82J. Guerrero
- 2Victor Thiago
- 64T. Martins
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Marco 09 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Trofense have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leça(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Régua(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AD Marco 09 win, 1 draw, 0 Trofense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Trofense 0-1 AD Marco 09 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AD Marco 09 1-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs AD Marco 09 on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Marco 09 score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Marco 09 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Marco 09 sit 3rd in Liga 3 (10 points from 6 matches) and Trofense sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about AD Marco 09 vs Trofense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Marco 09 vs Trofense?
- The Footlab AI model makes AD Marco 09 the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Trofense.
- Where and when is AD Marco 09 vs Trofense played?
- AD Marco 09 vs Trofense is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.