ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate ADO Den Haag (1,846) and PEC Zwolle (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ADO Den Haag win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 PEC Zwolle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 3-1 PEC Zwolle | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 1-2 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| May 9, 2021 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Dec 23, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Oct 20, 2019 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle on Feb 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle played?
- ADO Den Haag vs PEC Zwolle is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.