GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for GO Ahead Eagles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (2,161 vs 1,964).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 4-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 GO Ahead Eagles win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 AZ Alkmaar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| May 4, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 27, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for GO Ahead Eagles.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.