Utrecht vs Twente: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs Twente?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrecht vs Twente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 11D. Rots
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 1L. Unnerstall
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Twente have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Utrecht wins, 1 draw, 2 Twente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Twente 0-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Utrecht 1-2 Twente | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Utrecht 1-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 11, 2025 | Twente 2-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Utrecht 2-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Twente 0-1 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 13th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and Twente sit 4th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Utrecht vs Twente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs Twente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs Twente played?
- Utrecht vs Twente is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.