Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heerenveen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 7M. Rivera
- 20J. Trenskow
- 8N. Courtens
- 16M. Linday
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 45O. Braude
- 3M. Willemsen
- 1B. Klaverboer
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 7M. van Bergen
- 21J. Toornstra
- 6Teo Quintero
- 10S. Mito
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 5-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Heerenveen wins, 0 draws, 2 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Heerenveen 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| May 19, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 6th in Eredivisie (21 points from 12 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 12 |
A question about Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.