Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Cienciano (1,744) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 6-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cienciano win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Cienciano 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-0 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cienciano 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Cienciano 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cienciano on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cienciano sit 3rd in Primera División (33 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Sporting CristalvsAtletico Grau
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza LimavsADT
- Sep 19, 2026FBC MelgarvsSport Boys
- Sep 19, 2026Sport HuancayovsUTC Cajamarca
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza AtleticovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsUniversitario
- Sep 19, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsUCV Moquegua
- Sep 19, 2026FC CajamarcavsCusco