UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
The Footlab model makes UTC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Juan Pablo II College. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate UTC Cajamarca (1,537) and Juan Pablo II College (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UTC Cajamarca have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Juan Pablo II College have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADT(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UTC Cajamarca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Juan Pablo II College win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College 2-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 4-2 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UTC Cajamarca sit 13th in Primera División (18 points from 17 matches) and Juan Pablo II College sit 18th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
- The Footlab model makes UTC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Juan Pablo II College.
- Where and when is UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College played?
- UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sport BoysvsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Sep 12, 2026Alianza LimavsUniversitario
- Sep 12, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsSport Huancayo
- Sep 12, 2026Atletico GrauvsAlianza Atletico
- Sep 12, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsFC Cajamarca
- Sep 12, 2026CuscovsFBC Melgar
- Sep 12, 2026ADTvsCienciano
- Sep 12, 2026UCV MoqueguavsSporting Cristal