Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sport Huancayo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Comerciantes Unidos (1,599) and Sport Huancayo (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sport Huancayo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Comerciantes Unidos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sport Huancayo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Sport Huancayo 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and Sport Huancayo sit 17th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo?
- The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sport Huancayo.
- Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo played?
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026UTC CajamarcavsJuan Pablo II College
- Sep 12, 2026Sport BoysvsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Sep 12, 2026Alianza LimavsUniversitario
- Sep 12, 2026Atletico GrauvsAlianza Atletico
- Sep 12, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsFC Cajamarca
- Sep 12, 2026CuscovsFBC Melgar
- Sep 12, 2026ADTvsCienciano
- Sep 12, 2026UCV MoqueguavsSporting Cristal