Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 played?

Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa

Alloa Athletic

Hibernian U21

The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Hibernian U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?

Alloa Athletic starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,437).

Alloa Athletic win74 %

Draw15 %

Hibernian U21 win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hibernian U21 have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alloa Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Queen of the South(away)	2-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Montrose(home)	3-0	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Stranraer(home)	2-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Hamilton Academical(away)	0-1	League One
Aug 1, 2026	East Fife(home)	0-0	League One

Hibernian U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Clydebank(away)	0-4	Challenge Cup
Jul 18, 2026	Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 17, 2025	Montrose(away)	4-4	Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025	Peterhead(away)	4-0	Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025	Cove Rangers(away)	1-1	Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernian U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alloa Athletic	1.4	1.2	6	6/15	8/15
Hibernian U21	1.6	2.2	2	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21?: The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Hibernian U21.
Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 played?: Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.