Match

Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar

Forfar AthleticPeterhead

The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Forfar Athletic (1,531) and Peterhead (1,615).

Forfar Athletic win44 %
Draw23 %
Peterhead win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Peterhead have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forfar Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Clyde(away)0-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stirling Albion(home)3-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Elgin City(away)1-1League Two
Aug 1, 2026Kelty Hearts(home)1-0League Two
Peterhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cove Rangers(away)0-3League One
Aug 15, 2026East Fife(home)2-1League One
Aug 11, 2026Banks O' Dee(away)5-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Queen of the South(away)1-0League One
Aug 1, 2026Ross County(home)0-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Forfar Athletic win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Peterhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 7, 2026Forfar Athletic 0-3 PeterheadFriendlies Clubs
Mar 29, 2025Forfar Athletic 0-0 PeterheadLeague Two
Feb 1, 2025Peterhead 2-2 Forfar AthleticLeague Two
Dec 17, 2024Forfar Athletic 1-1 PeterheadLeague Two
Aug 10, 2024Peterhead 2-1 Forfar AthleticLeague Two
Apr 13, 2024Peterhead 2-1 Forfar AthleticLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead on Jul 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forfar Athletic0.92.526/1511/15
Peterhead1.61.146/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
The Footlab model makes Forfar Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Peterhead.
Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead played?
Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Forfar Athletic and Peterhead

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